Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.031975 0.037780 0.043813 0.050513 0.057709 0.065172 0.073466
2026-01-04 0.021954 0.029945 0.038812 0.049197 0.060864 0.073428 0.087850
2026-01-11 0.016762 0.026022 0.036882 0.050132 0.065498 0.082465 0.102344
2026-01-18 0.012806 0.022702 0.034948 0.050439 0.068890 0.089670 0.114403
2026-01-25 0.009906 0.020135 0.033472 0.050900 0.072132 0.096436 0.125723
2026-02-01 0.007449 0.017679 0.031779 0.050802 0.074473 0.101967 0.135464
2026-02-08 0.004820 0.014361 0.028536 0.048429 0.073801 0.103759 0.140701
2026-02-15 0.003261 0.012319 0.026766 0.047733 0.075016 0.107649 0.148260
2026-02-22 0.002354 0.011165 0.026116 0.048404 0.077849 0.113408 0.157957
2026-03-01 0.001667 0.010206 0.025631 0.049210 0.080789 0.119248 0.167713
2026-03-08 0.001249 0.009693 0.025768 0.050825 0.084732 0.126286 0.178874
2026-03-15 0.000825 0.008937 0.025421 0.051700 0.087676 0.132070 0.188516
2026-03-22 0.000804 0.009468 0.027338 0.055970 0.095264 0.143825 0.205627
2026-03-29 0.000284 0.007788 0.025322 0.054493 0.095277 0.146222 0.211524
2026-04-05 0.000111 0.007135 0.025017 0.055465 0.098497 0.152582 0.222189
2026-04-12 0.000012 0.006332 0.024321 0.055787 0.100804 0.157772 0.231416
2026-04-19 NaN 0.005656 0.023771 0.056272 0.103296 0.163169 0.240874
2026-04-26 NaN 0.004879 0.022884 0.056169 0.104939 0.167460 0.248955
2026-05-03 NaN 0.003580 0.020577 0.053668 0.103171 0.167331 0.251539
2026-05-10 NaN 0.002868 0.019427 0.052934 0.103798 0.170220 0.257805
2026-05-17 NaN 0.002538 0.019168 0.053641 0.106435 0.175685 0.267249
2026-05-24 NaN 0.002266 0.019008 0.054491 0.109262 0.181387 0.276982
2026-05-31 NaN 0.002174 0.019349 0.056193 0.113304 0.188667 0.288681